2011年1月15日星期六

Selling Property In Spain - House Prices September 2009

By William Cook


Costs for Spanish property in September has fallen once more giving a mean 10% drop throughout the nation, with variations along some components of the Mediterranean coastline.

Statistics from an official Spanish price monitoring mannequin, the IMIE index, reveals that property prices have fallen from September 2008 to September 2009 by over 10%.

In accordance with estate brokers in Spain, it is at present attainable, in September 2009, to negotiate as much as 70% discounts on 2006 quoted prices. Other commentators are quoting that fashionable resorts along the Mediterranean have fallen between 30% and 50% from their peak in 2006.

Knowledge from the official Spanish price tracking mannequin, the IMIE index, exhibits that property costs rose from September 2002 by 15-20% per 12 months till September 2006 then started to decline to a lower 5% increase in 2007, then -5% in 2008 then -10% in 2009. That's the official figures.

However my own experience and probably that of many others, was of buying in 2004 at EUR175,000 rising to EUR220,000 by 2006 then selling for EUR100,000 in 2009. That is a 50% plus fall. The IMIE is a valuation index not market price. So sellers are warned the market is still desperate with only a few buyers.

2009 has seen the determined flight of these on mounted incomes from the UK who has had to return house and many from Ireland who've lost their jobs in an enormous surge in unemployment there, having to sell or mothball property. Thus many sellers are being compelled to sell to get something out of their property or in a lot of circumstances with adverse equity merely walking away. This has led to many banks repossessing property however holding onto it to see if the market returns slightly.

The Spanish banks will in all probability try to offload lots of these properties to take a loss in 2009 to try to make 2010 look better on their threat portfolio. So count on an extra drop in price when those low-cost properties hit the public sale market in 2010.

The French, German, Japanese and Sweden are the primary to formally get out of recession. I spoke to a senior economist, and apparently the UK ought to rise above negative progress in the last quarter of 2009 taking it out of recession. Nonetheless the Spanish economy has a EUR50bn deficit and the prime minister has admitted that unemployment will attain 20% by the tip of 2009, double that of Eire and 4 instances the UK rate. He said "Indicators that the deterioration is slowing doesn't mean that a recovery is right here or might be fast. There are indicators that the worst of the recession has handed, however we're nonetheless suffering an intense crisis."

So the dangerous news for those having to sell their property in Spain in September 2009 is that costs are still down and by more than official statistics for distressed sales.




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